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Pushing the Green Car Agenda

December 13, 2016

While expensive battery-powered vehicles (BEVs), such as Tesla, are uneconomic and impractical, most people could relax and ignore the hubbub about BEVs because they could always rely on using their family car powered by gasoline.

This sanguine view could be upended by the proposed fleet mileage target regulations for the 2022 – 2025 model years. These rules were supposed to be reviewed before becoming final.

The combined passenger car and light truck fleet wide compliance targets were set at 54.5 mpg, and 163 grams of CO2 per mile for 2025. With customary adjustments the actual requirement would be 46.2 mpg as shown in the accompanying chart.

Many anticipated that the required review of the proposed regulations would result in more realistic rules. But that’s not happening.

Chart depicting large increase in mpg required by 2025.

Chart depicting large increase in mpg required by 2025.

The absurdity of these proposed regulations is self-evident.

Actual fleet mileage in April 2016 was 25.2 mpg. The trend line projecting from current mileage history is also shown on the chart. Any reasonable person would accept that it might be possible to achieve the technology breakthroughs required to follow this trend line.

Obviously, the proposed mileage requirements far exceed what one might consider to be reasonable.

The EPA has shattered any expectation of relaxing the proposed rules by announcing it will make a “final determination” almost immediately, rushing the requirement for public comment to be completed by December 31. This will result in the EPA making a final determination before there is a change in administrations.

In their announcement the EPA said,

“The standards will prevent emission of some 6 billion metric tons of greenhouse gases over the vehicles’ life span.”

Behind the rule is the expectation that people will be forced to buy battery-powered electric vehicles, because BEVs will more likely result in meeting the 54.5 mpg average fleet mileage requirement. See, Collision of Mileage Regulations and Technology

The absurdity of this, however, is that the electricity used to charge batteries comes primarily from fossil fuels that emit CO2.

What the new EPA rules will actually do is force Americans to buy smaller, less serviceable cars, without the space most families need.

Once again, the Obama administration is imposing its view on the cause of climate change, i.e., CO2 and Greenhouse Gasses, and forcing Americans to abide by the dictates of extreme environmentalists.

The EPA doesn’t give a hoot about Americans.

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Nothing to Fear, Chapter 15, An Alternative Hypothesis, describes why the sun is the far more likely cause of global warming..

Nothing to Fear is available from Amazon and some independent book sellers.

Link to Amazon:

Book Cover, Nothing to Fear

Book Cover, Nothing to Fear

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16 Comments leave one →
  1. December 13, 2016 10:51 am

    Good article Don. Several points that they don’t even “seem” to consider ; the front load carbon footprint from manufacturing the battery , and what do the morons think we are going to do with the cars we are driving now ? Somehow I have a hunch the life span of pre bs cars will be extended a long time .
    And what will be the price ? In this method of forcing us into electric they can’t subsidize them .
    6 billion metric tons over the life of the vehicle ? How many vehicles ? Does this take into consideration anything related to reality ? As usual there is no connection to reality with these people unless it’s one more way tear down this country .
    Thank you for the info . Steve

  2. December 13, 2016 10:54 am

    Additionally I think this might be one of the major rulings (over one hundred million) that will trigger a review from the new administration .

    • December 13, 2016 10:56 am

      Yes, it will be reviewed, but because of the legal structure it will take time to conduct hearings etc. to offset legal actions by environmental groups who will try to block any changes.

  3. December 13, 2016 11:57 am

    My dad was a state senator in Washington state in the 60s and 70s . After the Sierra club got a highway job shut down (that they finally lost in court) got a law passed that required a bond be posted for 25% of the cost of the project . We need something along those lines with environmental rules

  4. donb permalink
    December 13, 2016 12:42 pm

    Consider all the homes where people park their vehicles outside, in detached garages, apartments where parking is outside or under a group canopy, street parking — all lacking suitable power outlets for recharging an electric auto.
    Lots of expense to add power outlets and work for electricians.

  5. December 13, 2016 1:04 pm

    Don’t forget the additional stress on the electricity delivery system that is at its limits and has a definite age problem

  6. catcracking permalink
    December 13, 2016 1:50 pm

    Thanks for your posting, it captures the situation well.
    Several Points:
    1) The electric car is based on the assumption that a suitable battery will magically be developed. This challenge has been elusive despite significant expenditure and technical effort which has been employed for many decades unsuccessfully. Any one familiar with the laws of thermodynamics/etc, must admit that it may not even be feasible. Why would any reasonable person believe otherwise if they have a grasp on Science.

    2) The other comment relates to the graph regarding improvements in mpg for combustion engines to date. I believe the improvements have been remarkable, and that it is even a stretch to assume further improvements can continue along the straight line let alone the significant improvements required above the straight line to date without significant reduction is size and utility. It is well known that improving a technology from the initial base is significantly easier than subsequent improvements without an unlikely breakthrough, which may never be achieved. Only a person ignorant of the real world of science would assume that pouring more $$$ guarantees success. Again the laws of chemistry, thermodynamics, and physics may preclude such a significant breakthrough. Lacking any scientific knowledge makes our politicians and regulators oblivious to the real world.

    • December 13, 2016 2:05 pm

      Thanks. Excellent comments. I couldn’t agree more.

  7. Doug permalink
    December 21, 2016 11:41 pm

    I think the only place electric cars work is for city people I live in rural Canada we can not use mass transit ride the bus or carpool The winters and driving conditions simply will not work for a small electric vehicle We will need to burn diesel and gas for a long time to come.Our left wing groups do not consider these factors and drive SUVs themselves because they have to.I wonder how much heat you would get from a battery at -30C and how the temp would lower your range Just a few thoughts from an oilpatch worker in Canada

    • December 22, 2016 9:31 am

      Thanks. Great comments from the real world.

  8. December 22, 2016 9:46 am

    Hey Doug great comments . I hadn’t thought about the heater problem . I grew up in eastern Washington and the drivers of vw bugs froze in the winter unless they had the after market gas burning heater . maybe that would help ? co leaks from them were a definite problem

  9. January 13, 2017 9:54 am

    “If New Jersey can’t get one in seven cars on the road to be an EV by 2025, automakers could face fines that would likely be passed on to consumers.”
    “state may obtain $60 million from Volkswagen as a result of a settlement involving the carmaker’s emission-equipment scandal. They hope that the money can be used to install additional charging stations around the state.”

    Unfortunately, this is law in NJ but most people don’t know about it. The green movement is very busy in this state.

    • January 13, 2017 10:10 am

      The greens are very active everywhere. They are a very vocal group. Unfortunately their message sounds good, while their proposals are mostly harmful.


  1. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #252 | Watts Up With That?

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